Nationaløkonomisk Tidsskrift 2005

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1 Nationaløkonomisk Tidsskrift 2005 Udgivet af Nationaløkonomisk Forening Redaktør: Chr. Hjorth-Andersen I redaktionen: Claus Thustrup Kreiner, Birgitte Sloth, Torben Tranæs Redaktionsudvalg: Peder Andersen (formand), Lars Andersen, Torben M. Andersen, Helge Brink, Arne Hauge Jensen, Anders Møller Christensen, Finn Dehlbæk, Søren Frandsen, Nils Groes, Jan Rose Skaksen, Nina Smith, Jørgen Søndergaard, Peter Birch Sørensen, Bent Thage og Hans Aage 143. BIND

2 Indhold Artikler Abildgren, Kim: Interest-Rate Development in Denmark A Survey Albæk, Karsten: Om lærepladsspørgsmålet... 1 An, Mark Yuying: Se Gupta, Nabanita Datta Andersen, Frits Møller, Kenneth B. Karlsson, Dorte Grinderslev, Morten Werner og Trine S. Jensen: Miljømodeller til ADAM Bentzen, Jan og Valdemar Smith: Short-run and long-run relationships in the consumption of alcohol in the Scandinavian countries Dahl, Christian, Henrik Hansen og John Smidt: Makroøkonomiske forudsigelser baseret på diffusionsindeks Grinderslev, Dorte: Se Andersen, Frits Møller Gupta, Nabanita Datta og Mark Yuying An: The Effect of Labour Market Conditions on the Time-to-Completion of Higher Education in Denmark Hansen, Henrik: Se Dahl, Christian Hansen, Lars Gårn og Signe Krarup: Bør virksomheder oplyses om sandsynligheden for kontrol? Jensen, Trine S.: Se Andersen, Frits Møller Johannesen, Niels: Skattekonkurrence og økonomisk geografi Karlsson, Kenneth B.: Se Andersen, Frits Møller Kleven, Henrik Jacobsen og Claus Thustrup Kreiner: Labor Supply Behavior and the Design of Tax and Transfer Policy Krarup, Signe: Se Hansen, Lars Gårn Kreiner, Claus Thustrup: Se Kleven, Henrik Jacobsen la Cour, Lisbeth og Pascalis Raimondos-Møller: What affects students performance? An investigation of the importance of admission characteristics Larsen, Mona: The Effect of the 92-reform of the Voluntary Early Retirement Pension Program on Retirement Age A Natural Experiment Raimondos-Møller, Pascalis: Se la Cour, Lisbeth Smidt, John: Se Dahl, Christian Smith, Valdemar: Se Bentzen, Jan Svarer, Michael: Two Tests of Divorce Behaviour on Danish Marriage Market Data Sørensen, Peter Birch: Taxation of shareholder income and the cost of capital in an open economy: theory and applications to the Nordic countries Werner, Morten: Se Andersen, Frits Møller

3 Debat og kommentarer Casse, Thorkil: Copenhagen Consensus eller Discontent? En kommentar til konferencen i København i maj Jespersen, Jesper: Keynes-inspireret makroøkonomisk teori Lomborg, Bjørn og Henrik Meyer: Replik Copenhagen Consensus. Elfenbenstårn eller virkelighed? Meyer, Henrik: Se Lomborg, Bjørn Debatten om fremtidens velfærd Andersen, Jørgen Goul: Splinten og bjælken Andersen, Torben M. og Lars Haagen Pedersen: Demografi, velstandsdilemma og makroøkonomiske strategier Andersen, Torben M. og Lars Haagen Pedersen: Debat om fremtidens velfærd opsamling og replik Holmøy, Erling: Velferdsstatens finansieringsproblem: Utsiker i»annerledeslandet«norge Jespersen, Jesper: Makroøkonomisk analyse, finanspolitisk holdbarhed og DREAM-modellen: en umage cocktail Pedersen, Lars Haagen: Se Andersen, Torben M. Sørensen, Christen: Velfærdskommissionens analyse af finanspolitisk holdbarhed før og nu Vastrup, Claus: Velfærdskommissionens makroøkonomiske analyser og anbefalinger Boganmeldelser Estrup, Hector, Jesper Jespersen og Peter Nielsen: Den økonomiske teoris historie en introduktion. Anm. af Kurt Pedersen Møller, Michael og Niels Christian Nielsen:»Din økonomi«en bog om tid og penge. Anm. af Kim Valentin Pedersen, Torben: Dansk erhvervslivs placering i globaliseringen. Anm. af Carsten Kowalczyk Sørensen, Peter Birch og Hans-Jørgen Whitta-Jacobsen: Introducing Advanced Macroeconomics: Growth and Business Cycles. Anm. af Neil Rankin

4 Contents Articles Abildgren, Kim: Interest-Rate Development in Denmark A Survey Albæk, Karsten: On the Apprentices issue... 1 An, Mark Yuying: See Gupta, Nabanita Datta Andersen, Frits Møller, Kenneth B. Karlsson, Dorte Grinderslev, Morten Werner and Trine S. Jensen: Environmental models linked to the Danish macro-econometric model, ADAM Bentzen, Jan and Valdemar Smith: Short-run and long-run relationships in the consumption of alcohol in the Scandinavian countries Dahl, Christian, Henrik Hansen and John Smidt: Macroeconomic forecasts based on diffusion indexes Grinderslev, Dorte: See Andersen, Frits Møller Gupta, Nabanita Datta and Mark Yuying An: The Effect of Labour Market Conditions on the Time-to-Completion of Higher Education in Denmark Hansen, Henrik: See Dahl, Christian Hansen, Lars Gårn and Signe Krarup: Should regulatory authorities inform firms on monitoring probabilities Jensen, Trine S.: See Andersen, Frits Møller Johannesen, Niels: Tax competition and economic geography Karlsson, Kenneth B.: See Andersen, Frits Møller Kleven, Henrik Jacobsen and Claus Thustrup Kreiner: Labor Supply Behavior and the Design of Tax and Transfer Policy Krarup, Signe: See Hansen, Lars Gårn Kreiner, Claus Thustrup: See Kleven, Henrik Jacobsen la Cour, Lisbeth and Pascalis Raimondos-Møller: What affects students performance? An investigation of the importance of admission characteristics Larsen, Mona: The Effect of the 92-reform of the Voluntary Early Retirement Pension Program on Retirement Age A Natural Experiment Raimondos-Møller, Pascalis: See la Cour, Lisbeth Smidt, John: See Dahl, Christian Smith, Valdemar: See Bentzen, Jan Svarer, Michael: Two Tests of Divorce Behaviour on Danish Marriage Market Data Sørensen, Peter Birch: Taxation of shareholder income and the cost of capital in an open economy: theory and applications to the Nordic countries Werner, Morten: See Andersen, Frits Møller

5 Comments Casse, Thorkil: Copenhagen Consencus or Discontent? A comment on the conference in Copenhagen May Jespersen, Jesper: Keynes-inspired macroeconomic theory Lomborg, Bjørn and Henrik Meyer: Reply Copenhagen Consencus. Ivory Tower or Reality? Meyer, Henrik: See Lomborg, Bjørn The debate about the future of welfare Andersen, Jørgen Goul: The splint and the beam Andersen, Torben M. and Lars Haagen Pedersen: Demography, the welfare dilemma and macroeconomic strategies Andersen, Torben M. and Lars Haagen Pedersen: The debate about the future of welfare summary and reply Holmøy, Erling: Financing the Welfare State: The norwegian prospects Jespersen, Jesper: Macroeconomic analysis, sustainability of financial policy and the DREAM-model: an strange cocktail Pedersen, Lars Haagen: See Andersen, Torben M. Sørensen, Christen: The Welfare Commission s analysis of the sustainability of financial policy past and present Vastrup, Claus: The Welfare Commission s Macroeconomic Analyses and Recommendations Book Reviews Estrup, Hector, Jesper Jespersen and Peter Nielsen: Den økonomiske teoris historie en introduktion. Rew. by Kurt Pedersen Møller, Michael and Niels Christian Nielsen:»Din økonomi«en bog om tid og penge. Rew. by Kim Valentin Pedersen, Torben: Dansk erhvervslivs placering i globaliseringen. Rew. by Carsten Kowalczyk Sørensen, Peter Birch and Hans-Jørgen Whitta-Jacobsen: Introducing Advanced Macroeconomics: Growth and Business Cycles. Rew. by Neil Rankin

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