The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans

Transkript

1 Planlæg d præsenta Indledn scenen Indhold Afslutn eller pe The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans Energie-Effizienz made in Denmark Ein Marktmodell als Beispiel für die Schweiz? Bern, 9 September 2015 Peter Jørgensen, Vice President Energinet.dk, Denmark Find insp præsenta under Væ Kommun Husk at u nr. til Pub samme s Tip: Indsæt d sidefod p Vælg I topmen Vælg S Sidefo Indsæt feltet F Indsæt beskriv Vælg A eller A kun sk enkelt

2 Draft agenda Introduction to Energinet.dk Green transition of the Danish energy system Balancing the electricity system Developing flexibility and retail markets Q&A 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 2

3 Energinet.dk Danish TSO for electricity and gas Ensure short- and long-term security of supply Ensure well-functioning markets Own, operate, develop and maintain the transmission grids State owned non-profit company business cases based on socio-economic welfare criteria! 9 September

4 The energy system is changing Europe is in the middle of a historic transition of the energy system - Denmark has a leading position 2020: Wind power will constitute 50% of the electricity consumption 2035: Electricity and heating systems must be fossil-free 2050: Denmark must be fossil-free 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 4

5 Costs for the Green Transition in Denmark +8% 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 5

6 Parallel developments - towards renewable energy and open markets From primary coal fired to local CHP and wind power 2000 From vertically integrated monopoly to competitive electricity market Generation Generation Trade Transmission Distribution Transmission System Operator Distribution 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 6

7 Development of Wind Power and PV in Denmark Wind Power/Demand in 2014 ~ 39% 9 September The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans

8 One week in January % wind power 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 8

9 Flexibility in the electricity system - hourly dispatch for one week in January September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 9

10 Spot price, wind power and market dynamics /Mwh 9 September The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans

11 Relative market value of wind power (historic) (historic) (modelled) (modelled) The relative market value of wind power is calculated as the average obtained market price for wind power relative to the average market price for electricity in a given period Despite a substantial growth in wind power Energinet.dk only expects a minor reduction in the relative market value of wind power! 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 11

12 Means to increase the flexibility of the energy system 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 12

13 Development of the retail market Find insp præsenta InSite un Kommu Danish retail market liberalised in 2003 DataHub 2013 Du kan fi og grafisk Energine billeddata (Cumulus under Væ Kommun Limited developments in the retail market so far Deployment of smart meters 2020 Supplier Centric Model 2016 Active consumers and flexibility increasingly important Consumer Many elements to support the development Increased transparency 2016 Nonregulated prices 2016 Hourly settlement September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 13

14 DataHub - in operation since March 2013 Central data-register with all metering points Handles transactions and information exchange in the retail market Standardizes procedures and timeframes Facilitates change of supplier Find insp præsenta InSite un Kommu Du kan fi og grafisk Energine billeddata (Cumulus under Væ Kommun Lowers entry barriers and enhances competition 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans

15 Supplier Centric Model A change of roles and responsibility in the retail market supported by the DataHub Find insp præsenta InSite un Kommu Du kan fi og grafisk Energine billeddata (Cumulus under Væ Kommun Go-live April 2016 Consumers receive one combined bill Regulated prices are phased out Hourly settlement for small consumers is introduced Change of responsibility in the market 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 15

16 Resumè An efficient and affordable green transition requires A strong interconnected transmission system Efficient cross-border markets Coherent energy systems - electricity, heating, gas and transportation Increased flexibility in generation and demand - including active consumers and new business models in the retail markets Find insp præsenta InSite un Kommu Du kan fi og grafisk Energine billeddata (Cumulus under Væ Kommun 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 16

17 billeder: Du kan fi og grafisk Energine billeddata (Cumulus under Væ Kommun Brug evt. opdeling præsenta går fra et andet. Thank you for your attention! Brug bille rigtige op (fx 96dpi PowerPoi Brug hell billede en Read more at energinet.dk 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 17

18 Consumer prices in Denmark Jan 2015 * 2.29 DKK/kWh~ 0.31 /kwh 1.14 DKK/kWh~ 0.15 /kwh * 75% industrial processes 10 September 2015 The Danish Energy System Developments and Plans 18

19 MW The Danish electricity system Capacity Demand Primary power station Local CHP plant Wind turbines import/export [MW] 1650/1700 MW 680/740 MW 1300/1700 MW 600 MW Wind Power/Demand 2014: 39% 1500/1780 MW 600 MW 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 19

20 European - Ten Year Network Development Plan Find insp præsenta InSite un Kommu Grid development triggers Drivers for grid development New conventional generation Demand growth - a positive business case Du kan fi og grafisk Energine billeddata (Cumulus under Væ Kommun New RES generation Generation decommissioning New Hydro storage RES triggers 80% of investments needs! 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 20

21 Large-scale investments - stable tariff Find insp præsenta InSite un Kommu Du kan fi og grafisk Energine billeddata (Cumulus under Væ Kommun 9 September 2015 The Danish Energy System - Developments and Plans 21