Solvalla V75 3:

Transkript

1 Solvalla af sig. Får 3 Target Kronos spids, så er det ikke utænkeligt at den kan føre hele vejen til mål. 5 Ymer Brick har bedste spor, og har gjort det fremragende i dens to sidste V75 starter, hvor den har haft dårlige spor. Spændende om den kan vinde, nu hvor sporet blev perfekt. 9 Frankie Brodda har en god startryg at følge, og skulle der komme for meget fart på den første kilometer, så kan den måske overraske. Senest afsluttede den i 10 fart de sidste 800 m. Solvalla har 196 m. opløb, og 39 % af alle løbene vindes af hesten i spids. Omgangen ser fantastisk, men også svær ud. Historisk plejer denne lørdag før Elitloppet, også at give en god udbetaling til v- spillet. Ser man på hvad 7 rigtige har givet de sidste seks år - er det som følger: År 2015: kr. År 2014: kr. År 2013: kr. År 2012: kr. År 2011: kr. År 2010: kr. V75 1: Souloy er en dygtig træner, og sådan som han har udviklet Your Highness til at være en Elitlopshest da tør jeg heller ikke gå udenom hans hoppe 3 Moving On i dette løb. Sporet er godt, og nu hvor Donna di Quattro er udgået, forventer jeg at den tager spids. Speedige 9 Windy Ways har bagspor, hvilket ikke er optimalt, og slet ikke på sprint. Den har dog ryg på starthurtige 3 Moving On, og kan dermed blive trukket fint med frem. For tre starter siden afsluttede den i 09,5 fart de sidste 1000 m. I Stoeliten vinder stregfordelingens top to, statistisk set 57 % af løbene. V75 2: 2 Tallassio er hurtig fra start, og burde kunne tage spids. Spor, kusk og formen er god, så det meste taler for en sejr. Jeg er dog bange for at 3 Target Kronos er ude på, at byde den op til en hård spidskamp. I værste fald kan favoritten blive spærret inde på indersporet, eller få kørt pusten V75 3: Bedste spor til 5 Next To None Sib, der er en hurtig starter. Hesten har vist stærk form den seneste tid, og selvom jeg vil tro den er bedst på sprint, så kan være spids og slut? 4 Sir Ratzeputz kan godt åbne fra start, men risikerer også at galoppere hvis den bliver trykket af. Præstationen senest var imponerende, og den skal med på kuponen. 6 Takethem var dygtig i København, men har her fået et yderligt spor. Jeg er i tvivl om hvor den havner fra start, og det kan måske blive et løb i dødens hvis ikke Juul vil ligge for langt bag. Som gardering mod overpace, tager jeg 10 Al s Winnermede og 2 Radysin America med også. Førstnævnte afsluttede i 09,5 fart de sidste 800 m. senest, og så stærk ud. 2 Radysin America løber 12 tider som det behager den, og har her et godt spor, hvorfra den kan ligge og spare spurten. V75 4: 11 Le Miracle er en super hest, der indtil videre kun har tabt en gang i sin karriere. Spor 11 er på ingen måde godt, og overall sejrer sporet kun i 6 % af løbene. Det er muligt at favoritten bare vinder, men jeg prøver nu om jeg kan fælde den. 2 Eldrick Boko er hurtig fra start, og lykkes den med at holde spidsen relativt enkelt, så kan den måske snyde favoritten, da formen er på top. 4 Copimade er måske bedst på de længere distancer, men det må være usagt. Holder den sig bare i trav, så burde den være med i striden. Stregfordelingens rang 1-3 vinder 60 % af løbene.

2 Solvalla V75 5: De tre mest spillede heste, er også de der har de bedste spor. Jeg er ikke helt overbevist om, at det er 6 Basic der tager spids, da 1 Takeaway også burde have noget at sige i den strid. 7 Angel Rain galopperede senest, men er normalt også hurtig fra start. Hvis man skal spare lidt, bør man nok kunne nøjes med disse tre. Men da denne omgang ofte giver store udbetalinger, så vil jeg vurdere at det er i dette løb, at der er den største chance for at finde/ramme et skrald. 13 Alvena Take It har springspor på tillæg, og har vist storform på den sidste tid. I dens seneste løb afsluttede den i 10,5 fart de sidste 1000 m., og vandt ganske let. Nu her kun afkrydset på 5 %! 2 Magnesia har et godt spor, og vandt sin årsdebut efter at have holdt pause længe. Sidste år løb hesten 12 tider, men er her helt glemt af spillerne, og kun afkrydset på 4 %! V75 6: Dette er et fantastisk Bronzedivisionsløb, hvor samtlige heste ser ud til at kunne vinde. Hestene fra sporene er alle hurtige fra start, og vil forsøge at tage spids. I min optik lugter dette løb langt væk af overpace, og dermed gælder det om at have spurtstærke heste med. Bedste spor tilfalder 5 King Sir Kir. Hesten har stået for fire stærke præstationer i år, dog uden at kunne sætte mulen først over stregen. Senest testede man den uden sko, og det gav udslag i en forrygende 0,8 afslutning de sidste 600 m.! Med overpace på løbet, da tror jeg at 5 King Sir Kir spurter forbi dem alle over opløbet, og tager sin velfortjente første sejr i år. Ugarderet. V75 7: Som altid er det et fremragende felt der er til start i Harper Hanovers, og i år er heller ingen undtagelse. 11 Sauveur er favorit, men har til gengæld ikke det bedste spor. Dens værste konkurrenter på volten har bedre spor, og 11 Sauveur kan nemt komme til at ligge bag sine konkurrenter. Om det så i sidste ende betyder noget, det må være op til bevis. 13 Mellby Viking er forsvarende mester, og verdensrekordholder på distancen. Den vandt sin årsdebut, og er nok endnu bedre til denne start. Springsporet er fint, og den vil givetvis have en fordel mod favoritten fra start. 14 Bird Parker har mødt nogle store kanoner i Frankrig, og bliver lidt af et staldskrig denne gang. Langrejse kan påvirke heste negativt, men uanset så skal den med på kuponen. Et lille skrald bliver der også plads til, i form af 5 Usain Henna. Hesten står bedre til, end de mere betroede på bagerste volte, og tager højest tænkeligt spids. Skulle det ske at favoritterne holder på krudtet for længe, og angriber for sent så er spidshesten altid god at have med. Statistik Spillerens V75 forslag: Stort forslag Afd. Heste nr. Res King Sir Kir I alt 1200 kr. Lille forslag Afd. Heste nr. Res Le Miracle King Sir Kir I alt 144 kr.

3 Race 1 Auto Bellino B. has taken three wins and four places so far. He won easily in the lead in the last race and looked really nice. Will certainly get an offensive trip here. Good chance. 11 Hypnotist won two races back on Solvalla and showed good skills. Bad post here but early contender in case of high pace. 12 Bacan Degato has a couple of races under his belt and should be on the way up. A: B: C: 9-10 Race 2 Auto Stylish Hanover is our pick as she could reach the front here. Likes to run in that position. On the way up. 7 King City has taken two wins in a row and could take a new victory here with the right journey. 6 Fire to the Rain has done well lately without winning. 9 My Gliding Angel has got a nice trip for a defensive journey. A: B: C: Race 3 Auto Nothing But Class showed 08/800 behind winning Nuncio in the last race and is in great shape. Prefers to attack from the back but might go for the lead anyway here. Good chance regardless the journey. 2 Brillantissime comes from France and has earned more than eight million SEK. Has got a perfect post behind the gate and should have a good chance. 1 Probo O.P. has three races under his belt after a pause. He was second in an elimination race and fifth in the final of Lotteria in Italy. Nice post behind the gate. 6 Boys Going In has not convinced for a while but is really gifted. Race 4 Auto Pascia Lest comes from an elimination race and the final in Lotteria in Italy. Won the trial and was fourth in the final after an inside journey. Has earned more than 12 million SEK and should have a good chance despite this post. 3 Rosemary Gar is a quick starter and will probably go for the front here. Might give it away to our favourite but is an early contender regardless the trip. 7 Global Money has not won for a while but has met very tough opponents too. Tricky post here. Needs some racing luck. 4 Reven d Amour uses to do well this weekend and should be considered this year too. Race 5 Auto Anna Mix is very speedy and has been third in both Olympiatravet and Finlandia Ajo. Will soon take her first win in Scandinavia. Our pick. 2 Quid Pro Quo had plenty of energy left in teh last race and looked really nice. Faces perfect conditions with this post behind the gate. Could go for the lead. 6 Ringostarr Treb won this race last year and will try to defend his title. He has not won yet this season but is certainly well prepared here. 7 Tycoon Conway Hall was second in the last race and has been heading for the Sweden Cup since then. A: 7-2 B: C: 4 B: C: A: 4-2 B: C: 1-5

4 Race 6 Auto Pioneer Face is very promising but broke in the last Drottning Silvia Pokal. She took a splendid win in the elimination race. Good chance despite this post. 2 A La Partenza has one race under her belt after a layoff and is certainly a lot better now. Perfect post behind the gate. Early contender behind our pick. 1 Touch of Wind Bi has got an interesting post and could get a perfect defensive journey here. Speedy. 5 Touch of Elegance has not won for a while but has good pace. Possible with the right trip and in case of high pace. A: 9 B: C: 6-3 Race 7, V75-1 Auto Moving On has competed in France and done really well. Back in Sweden now. Nice post and handles this distance. Good chance. 8 El Catwalk is an interesting French horse. Finished really strongly in the last race from far behind. Bad post and needs some luck. Possible anyway. 10 Heaven s Door has looked really nice lately. Can finish well and should be considered early here too. 2 Roses Glory has taken two convincing wins in a row. A: 3-8 B: C: 1-7 Race 8, V75-2 Auto Talassio took the lead in the last race and won comfortably. Has got a nice post again. Good chance. 7 Wasa Warrior is gifted and has taken three wins in a row. Is in fine form and should be considered early despite this tricky post. 3 Target Kronos has a good reputation and Adrian Kolgjini will certainly go for the lead here. 10 Say that Again has shown fine form lately and is an early choice too. A: 2-7 B: C: Race 9, V75-3 Auto Takethem took a good second spot in the seasonal debut and has taken two convincing wins after that. Will certainly go for the front here. Good chance in that case. 5 Next To None Sib has taken three wins in a row and is in great shape. Has got a better post than our pick and that could be decisive. 11 Global Patriot has taken some nice wins lately. Different post this time but should be considered early if the pace will be high. B: C: 8-12 Race 10 Auto 1609 Sweden Cup. The final. Elimination races are races 3, 4 and 5. A: B: C:

5 Race 11, V75-4 Auto Le Miracle has taken seven wins in eight attempts and shown really good skills. Bad post here and tough opponents. Top chance anyway. Banker. 2 Eldrick Boko kept up the pace well from outside the leader in the last race. Took some nice wins before that and has got a much better post than the favourite. Main challenger. 3 Well Done la Marc has taken four wins in a row and this post is nice. 4 Copimade was really good in the last race. A: 11 B: C: Race 12, V75-5 Volt Basic has got a nice post and should have a good chance to take the lead here. Top chance to win that case. Banker. 7 Angel Rain broke in the last Drottning Silvias Pokal already defeated. She can do a lot better and is the main challenger. 1 Takeaway has shown fine form lately and this post is perfect. 15 Jetset can finish fast and is possible with the right trip from the back. Outsider. B: C: Race 13, V75-6 Auto Whitehouse Express impressed in the last race in Finland and could take a new victory with a similar effort. Needs some luck with this post though. 9 Bartender In got a defensive trip in the last race but was lucky and took an easy win. Will run without shoes now and could take a new victory in case of high pace. 1 Global Republic took the lead in the last race but gave it away. Found an opening at the end and won comfortably. Perfect post here. Early choice again. A: 7-9 B: C: 8-10 Race 14, V75-7 Volt Mellby Viking came back after a pause in the last race but could win directly. Should be even better now and is strong enough to finish to victory. 11 Sauveur is very tough too. He can do a bit by himself and is certainly well prepared by Åke Lindblom. 14 Bird Parker comes from a convincing win in France and will head for the Oslo Grand Prix after this race. Has really good skills. 12 Alfas da Vinci is speedy with the right trip from the back. Should not be overlooked. A: 13 B: C: 8-2 Race 15 Auto Backorder has not convinced lately but she has taken seven wins in 18 attempts so far. Tricky post but she will fight for victory with the right trip. 2 New Devotion was second in the debut for Johan Untersteiner but broke in the last race. Perfect post. Should be considered early. 7 Adrians Girl has been up and down lately but she has good pace. Early contender with the right trip. 14 Evening Prayer is talented and an early choice too here. A: B: C: