WCN ( S OME) COMMUNICAT I ON T R E N D S MICHAEL JENSEN

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1 WCN WIRELESS COMUNICATION NETWORKS ( S OME) COMMUNICAT I ON T R E N D S MICHAEL JENSEN

2 AAU:Wireless Communications Networks Section Areas of expertise: 5G system design System expertise GSM, HSPA, LTE-A RRM for cellular, HetNet and small cells MIMO and advanced transceivers Channel modeling and estimation Information, Communication, and Coding Theory Network evolution & planning Project experience in the past 5 years: EU STREPs: SURFACE, SAMURAI, MOBINET, SmartC2Net, WHERE2, OPEN, HIDENETS FP7 NoE Newcom# WG Leadership in Cognitive Networking in COST IC0902 FP7 NoE ACROPOLIS Associate member Preben Mogensen (section head) 50 researchers: 4 full and 9 associate professors, 8 post docs, 7 Assistant researchers and 20 Ph.D. students Past 5 years performance 420 publications 26 graduated PhD students Partners: Intel MC, Agilent, Telenor, NSN, Nokia, Sequans, TDC, Volvo, Telecom Italia, Thales, Vodafone, Renesas, Telefonica Labs and test beds Link/System/Network simulators SDR 5G test bed with 16 nodes link Cellular scanners and propagation measurement equipment up to 20GHz

3 AAU:Wireless Communications Networks Section Planning Models & - methods Research 5G System Design MIMO and Advanced Transceivers ICT & Society Structures ICT & Business Structures Radio Communications Education Distributed Systems (DIRS) Other Specialisations Knowledge Center National Broadband initiatives Danish FTTH and mobile providers

4 Societal aspects in WCN activities Digital growth plan (released today) Improved broadband and mobile coverage WIFI calling from 2015 Broadband goal in 2020: 100 Mbps download, 30 Mbps upload Meet future demand for wired/wireless communications Smart Society, Smart Grids, Intelligent living etc etc.

5 Digital vækstplan 700 MHz frigøres til mobilt bredbånd Dækningskrav i frekvensauktioner og offentlige udbud Færre gravearbejder og bedre udnyttelse af rør og kabler til bredbånd Aftale om bedre mobildækning i yderområder Nye løsninger til mobildækning i private hjem Nye finansieringsmuligheder for digital infrastruktur

6 Mobile Network Evolution -Indoor challenges ( E D I T I N M A S T E R ) P R E S E N T A T I O N T I T A L P A G E 6 - D A T E D E P A R T M E N T / U N I T A A L B O R G U N I V E R S I T E T

7 Traffic volume and user data rate demands are increasing Assumptions Subscriber data rate Total subscriber base Mobile broadband penetration ~25% per year +15% per year +5% per year reaching 100% by Traffic and user data rate growth towards 2030 X80 4Mbit/s Traffic volume X Mbit/s User data rate [Mbit/s] Reference CISCO VNI Forecast Actual 1 0

8 LTE Speedtest in Aalborg (outdoor)

9

10 Outdoor-to-indoor penetration loss is increasing Element Concrete Wall Modern IRR glass Old glass Model Att = 3.2 f [GHz] + 15 [db] Att = 0.3 f [GHz] + 25 [db] Att = 0.2 f [GHz] + 3 [db]

11

12 Pixels Height [m] Height [m] Heterogeneous Network Analysis Macro Micro Indoor Indoor 80% indoor traffic 20% outdoor traffic Uptilted macro Micro/Pico Macro Pixels 1km x 1km Dense Urban

13 The challenge of providing indoor mobile broadband? Conclusions Outdoor to Indoor penetration loss of modern buildings with energy saving glass is already a challenge today This challenge increase with carrier frequency and the demand for higher user data rates. Outdoor only solutions can cover most indoor scenarios until 2020 Adding spectrum and deploying outdoor small cells However modern high-rise buildings need uptilted macro cells or indoor solutions Necessity of Indoor solutions increases beyond 2020 Both due to Increased capacity and coverage requirements Number of required Indoor cells becomes more than a magnitudes higher than the number of outdoor micro cells. Dark Horse: Wifi offload, Wifi calling

14 FutureWorks looking ahead to 5G Building a virtual zero latency gigabit experience Preben Mogensen, Fellow 14 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

15 Stretching performance targets for 5G towards 2030 FutureWorks Capacity Latency Energy consumption x more traffic Cost User data rates millisecond latency Gbit/s peak data rates Mbit/s wherever needed x more devices years M2M battery life M2M ultra low cost The exploration phase for a high performance 5G has started! Coverage Ultra reliability Low energy 16 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

16 Networks to become much denser FutureWorks Spectrum Spectral efficiency # of base stations x x Ultra dense SC Perception of infinite capacity x x Small Cells = x x Macro Cells Flexibility in supporting multiple RATs and layers (Low power) Wide area Crowd Outdoor Ultra-dense A trillion of devices with different needs GB transferred in an instant Mission-critical wireless control and automation 17 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

17 Bridging the spectrum gap to deliver capacity and experience FutureWorks Availability LOS 300 GHz 90 GHz 30 GHz Exploration mmwave small cells (e.g GHz) ~1 GHz carrier bandwidth High data rates Low Rank MIMO/BF efficient beam steering Noise limited system (70-90GHz) 10 GHz Next step cmwave small cells (< 20 GHz) ~100 MHz High Rank MIMO higher data rates Interference coordination/ rejection 3 GHz 10 cm Today Spectrum availability Antenna technologies Interference Cell size LOS/NLOS 300 MHz 1m 5G is to optimize below 6 GHz access and enable above 6 GHz access 18 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

18 Diversity of services, use cases and (extreme) requirements FutureWorks Building a scalable service experience Smart city cameras Sensor NW Voice Throughput Gigabytes in a second 3D video 4K screens Work and play in the cloud Augmented reality Industry & vehicular automation Mission critical broadcast Self Driving Car # of Devices; Cost; Power Latency; Reliability (Low power) Wide area Crowd Outdoor Ultra-dense A trillion of devices with different needs GB transferred in an instant Mission-critical wireless control and automation 19 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

19 20 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G FutureWorks

20 21 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G FutureWorks

21 22 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G FutureWorks

22 23 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G FutureWorks

23 24 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G FutureWorks

24 FutureWorks How reliable should future data communication be? Answer: ULTRA RELIABLE! 25 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

25 FutureWorks What is ultra reliable? Six sigma (6σ) Availability of a system of % (Danish electricity: %) Average downtime of around 2 minutes per year 26 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G 26

26 FutureWorks 1969: First data transmission ever: On Arpanet between UCLA and Stanford 2014: SUCCSESS!! 2050: 27 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G?????

27 FutureWorks Use case: Intelligent Agriculture 28 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

28 FutureWorks Reduktion af jordkomprimering ved brug af autostyring og analyse af pesticidforbrug Planlægning af optimale kørespor. Op til 70% besparelse af kørselsenergi. Op til 20% forøgelse af kapacitet. Reduceret pesticidforbrug på op til 90% /12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G GIS databaser sendes og modtages. Udveksling af doserings- og behandlingskort. Kræver både god download og upload.

29 FutureWorks Reduktion af jordkomprimering ved brug af autostyring og analyse af pesticidforbrug Overvågning af dyr. Online adgang til maskiner. Styring af indeklima i stalde. Forhindring af selvantændelse i ensilage. Behov for store mængder opsamling og behandling af data. Kræver god upload /12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

30 Video til overvågning og dyrelægetilsyn af besætninger FutureWorks Konkurrence parameter at forbrugere kan følge malke- og kødkvæg. Hurtig indsats i tilfælde af skader eller sygdomme. Akut dyrelægetilsyn på trods af lange afstande /12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G Seriøse krav til uploadhastigheder. Kan ikke lade sig gøre hos rigtig mange landmænd.

31 FutureWorks Langt de fleste bredbåndsforbindelser til de danske landbrug er baseret på kobber. Testede hastiheder DL: 3,7 Mbit/s UP: 0,3 Mbit/s 32 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

32 FutureWorks Langt de fleste bredbåndsforbindelser til de danske landbrug er baseret på kobber /12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

33 Kortlægning af download på kobber (xdsl) FutureWorks Mindre end 15 Mbit/s 15 Mbit/s eller mere 34 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

34 Proof-of-concept: FutureWorks 3G/4G INTERNET XDSL/FIBER/COAX 35 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G 35

35 36 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G FutureWorks

36 37 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G FutureWorks

37 FutureWorks 24 links, degree 3 24 links, degree 3, high availability Length (km) Availability Downtime (m/y) 24 links 18,477 99,9997 1,6 24link+High Avail. 20,577 99, , /12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

38 FutureWorks Ad Hoc Strategy? 39 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

39 FutureWorks On line Documentation 40 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

40 FutureWorks Distributed Operation & Management (OPEX) 41 09/12/2014 Nokia Looking ahead to 5G

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