Investor presentation July 2009
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- Mathias Bertelsen
- 5 år siden
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Transkript
1 Investor presentation July 2009
2 Legal disclaimer* This presentation has been prepared by Sberbank (Savings Bank of the Russian Federation (the Bank )), and comprises the slides for a presentation to investors concerning the Bank. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares or other securities representing shares in the Bank, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. The information in this presentation or in oral statements of the management of the Bank may include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts, statements regarding the Bank's intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Bank's results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies, and the industry in which the Bank operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Bank cautions you that forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Bank operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation or in oral statements of the management of the Bank. In addition, even if the Bank's results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Bank operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods. The information and opinions contained in this presentation or in oral statements of the management of the Bank are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. * Legal disclaimer on Sberbank s international borrowings is given on a separate slide on p.29 2
3 Agenda Key messages 3 Macro economic trends and Sberbank s market position 6 Structure and strategy 12 Balance sheet disclosure 18 Income statement highlights 30 Sberbank s shares 33 3
4 Key messages Sberbank is the largest player in the Russian banking sector with 167 years of history Sberbank is well positioned to weather the financial crisis Domestic market position* 20,000 branches & 300 million individual accounts # 1 by assets (25.3% of total) # 1 by retail loans (31.6% of total) # 1 by corporate loans (32.0% of total) # 1 by retail deposits (50.5% of the total) # 1 by corporate deposits (19.5% of the total) Balance sheet strength** Investment level ratings Conservative loans to assets (77%) Conservative loans to deposits (108%) Strong equity base (11.7% Tier 1, 18.0% Total Capital, 19.7% CBR N1) Limited international borrowings (3% of liabilities) Strong Government support (CBR owns 60.25%) Assets and asset quality** Low exposure to securities, in particular to equities Diversified loan base (reflects Russia GDP) NPL ratio at 3.48% (from 1.55% y-o-y) Coverage ratio (LLP***/NPL***) of 1.5x (from 1.7x y-o-y) Strong operating performance for 1Q 09** Net interest income (RUB115.5 bn, +37.2% y-o-y) Net interest margin (7.4%, +0.3p.p. y-o-y) Fees & commissions (RUB23.1 bn, +25.5% y-o-y) Operating income before provisions (RUB144.2 bn, +38.9% y-o-y) Source: * Sberbank, as of June 1, 2009; ** Sberbank s IFRS results for Q *** LLP loan loss provisions, NPL non-performing loans 4
5 Q1 09 IFRS Results in summary ITEM Balance sheet highlights (RUB bn) (RUB bn) Change Selected balance sheet ratios ITEM Change Assets 6, , % Total capital adequacy ratio Basel I 18.0% 18.9% -0.9 p.p. Loans to customers after LLP* 5, , % Capital adequacy - CBR N1 ratio 19.7% 20.2% -0.5 p.p. Customer deposits 4, , % Provisions for loan impairment to loan portfolio 5.3% 3.8% +1.5 p.p. Equity % Net loans to total assets 77% 75% +2 p.p. Net loans to client deposits 108% 106% +2 p.p. * LLP loan loss provisions Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results Profit and loss highlights ITEM Q1 09 Q1 08 Change Operating income before LLP*, Rub bn % Net profit, Rub bn % ROAE 0.3% 19.1% p.p. ROAA 0.03% 2.45% p.p. Cost to income ratio 36.8% 53.5% p.p. Interest margin 7.4% 7.1% +0.3 p.p. Earnings per ordinary share, Rub % Key comments As in the previous periods, the main drivers for the operating income before LLP growth were expanding operations with clients including: Expansion of the loan portfolio by 3.9% in 1Q 09 Rise interest margin by 0.3 p.p. during 1Q 09 Net profit decline in 1Q 09 was primarily due to increase in provisioning for loan impairment of RUB90.8 bn, which is 46.5% higher vs. 4Q 08 The operating expenses totaled RUB53.1 bn for 1Q 09, a 5.2% decrease against Q4 09 and 4.5% vs. 1Q 08 Profitability ratios decreased, mainly as a result of a significant growth in provisions for loan impairment in 1Q 09 The increase in LLP was partly offset by the net interest income growth of 4.4% and the decrease in operating expenses of 5.2% vs. 4Q 08, which resulted in a decrease of the cost to income ratio to 36.8% 5
6 Agenda Page Key messages 3 Macro economic trends and Sberbank s market position 6 Structure and strategy 12 Balance sheet disclosure 18 Income statement highlights 30 Sberbank s shares 33 6
7 Russia: macroeconomic trends Real GDP growth and Inflation (%,YoY) Economic environment 13.0% 11.0% 9.0% 7.0% 5.0% 3.0% 1.0% -1.0% -3.0% Real GDP growth, %YoY Inflation, %YoY 11.7% 11.9% 13.3% 12.0%* 10.9% 10.0%* 9.0% 7.2% 6.4% 7.7% 8.1% 5.6% 0.1%* On the monthly basis economy is stabilizing Unemployment declined slightly over late spring and early summer, but may rise slightly in the fall due to restructuring in the manufacturing sector Increase in oil prices as compared with January 2009 Russian equities are highly volatile but outperformed EM Lower customer purchasing power Drop in investments in Russian economy E 2010E * Estimates of the Ministry for Economic Development of Russia Source: Russian National Statistics Office Exchange rates Urals (USD/bbl, average monthly price) USD/RUB EUR/RUB Jan.04 Jan.05 Jan.06 Jan.07 Jan.08 Jan.09 Feb.09 Jul.09 Source: Bank of Russia, official exchange rates Jan.04 Jan.05 Jan.06 Jan.07 Jan.08 Jan.09 May * 2010* * Estimates of the Ministry for Economic Development of Russia Source: Reuters 7
8 Russian banking sector and Sberbank s market position Russian banking sector structure by assets 34.9% 25.3% 12.7% 7.9% 3.2% 3.1% 2.9% 2.7% 2.1% 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% Sberbank VTB Gazprom bank Russian banking sector assets of RUB 27,408 bn were divided among 1,039 banks Source: CBR, as of June 1, 2009 Russian Agricultural Bank BSGV Bank of Moscow Alfa Bank Unicredit Raiffeisen Uralsib Promsvyaz bank Banks ranked Sberbank 50.5% Other Russian banks 49.5% Retail Deposits Source: Sberbank, as of June 1, 2009 Sberbank s market position Sberbank 19.5% Sberbank Sberbank Sberbank 31.6% 32.0% 32.5% Other Russian banks 80.5% Corporate Deposits Other Russian banks 68.4% Retail Lending Other Russian banks 68.0% Corporate Lending Other Russian banks 67.5% Regulatory Capital Russia s # 1 bank Sberbank is the largest bank in CIS in terms of assets Sberbank is the largest player in the Russian banking sector with 167 years of history Sberbank s banking network consists of 17 Regional Head Offices, which have over 20,000 units and 13,000 ATMs Coverage across all regions of Russia. Spanning 11 time zones Nationwide brand recognition 300 million individual accounts in a 142 million population country Sberbank s public & private ownership exemplifies a proper balance between sustainability and drive for efficiency 8
9 Sberbank s market position (1/2) Top Russian banks by corporate lending, Rub bn Top Russian banks by retail lending, Rub bn 4,259 4,137 1,180 1,296 1, *RAB Russian agricultural bank Top Russian banks by overdue corporate loans Top Russian banks by overdue retail loans 12.9% 24.4% 2.6% 6.3% 5.0% 2.3% 1.0% 2.9% 5.2% 6.6% 5.0% 4.3% 2.6% 1.9% 5.7% 7.4% 5.2% 4.7% 3.3% 12.4% 8.9% 5.4% 5.5% % in corporate loan book *RAB Russian agricultural bank Source: Bank of Russia, as of June 01, 2009 Russian accounting standards % in retail loan book 9
10 Sberbank s market position (2/2) Top Russian banks by corporate deposits, Rub bn Top Russian banks by retail deposits, Rub bn 1, ,875 3, ,827 Top Russian banks by CBR funding, Rub bn Top Russian banks by international borrowings** % 71% 52% 41% 45% 33%29%29%28%24%25% 14%12% 9% 8% 12% *RAB Russian agricultural bank ** % in liabilities Source: Bank of Russia, as of June 01, 2009 Russian accounting standards 10
11 Subsidiary banks abroad Sberbank has started to realize its international strategy with acquisitions in Ukraine and Kazakhstan Sberbank is considering Belarus, India and China to be the next fields of activity Russian Federation Ukraine Sberbank of Russia CJSC % interest acquired in % of Sberbank s assets * Kazakhstan JSC SB Sberbank 99.9% interest acquired in % of Sberbank s assets ** * as of 1Q 09 ** as of 1Q 09 Source: Sberbank 11
12 Agenda Page Key messages 3 Macro economic trends and Sberbank s market position 6 Structure and strategy 12 Balance sheet disclosure 18 Income statement highlights 30 Sberbank s shares 33 12
13 Corporate governance architecture We form up a team committed to making the world a better place to live Governance Bodies Key comments General Shareholders Meeting Supervisory Board New management team appointed in late 2007 and 2008 Hiring the best people from the market Reorganisation in order to improve efficiency and ensure further development of Sberbank s operations Chairman of the Supervisory Board: Sergei M. Ignatiev, Chairman of the Bank of Russia (since 2002) Bank of Russia Representatives of the Federal Government and the Russian President Sberbank Independent directors Committees of of the Supervisory Board Chairman of the Board and CEO: The Board Herman Gref (since November 2007) 6 representatives 5 representatives 2 representatives 4 representatives Audit committee HR and compensation committee Strategic planning committee Central Head Office Improving the organizational model Establishment of the vertically integrated business blocks responsible for retail and corporate operations. These blocks will formulate strategy and be responsible for financial results in specific customer groups Implementing a customer-focused approach to have a holistic understanding of customer needs Consolidation of operational functions, risk management and information technology Establishment of the appropriate functional reporting lines Review and standardization of organizational structures and management standards Regional Head Offices Over offices within the Russian Federation 13
14 Key businesses assets and contribution Universal commercial bank with the full range of banking services Sberbank Retail banking Corporate banking Financial markets Retail current accounts Term deposits from individuals Consumer loans and mortgages Debit and credit cards Custody Corporate current accounts Corporate deposits Overdrafts Loans and other credit facilities Trade finance Operations with securities Operations on on money markets Long-term funding received on on capital markets Foreign currency and derivative products on on financial markets Assets structure by segment Profit before tax for 2008 by segment (Rub bn) Retail banking 26% Corporate banking Retail banking Financial markets Corporate banking 59% Financial markets 15% -33 Source: Sberbank IFRS results, FY 2008 Source: Sberbank IFRS results, FY
15 Sberbank s Development Strategy by the year 2014* Our goals and aspirations by the year 2014 Sberbank in 2014 is a solid foundation of the Russian banking system, one of the leading global financial institutions Market position Substantial strengthening of the Bank s competitive position in majority of markets Maintain position in the retail deposits market Target share of banking system assets is 25%-30% Financial results After tax profits increased fold vs Cost-income ratio decreased from 46% to 40% (Russian Accounting Standards) ROAE >20% Headcount of thousand employees Qualitative indicators Market leading skills and capabilities (account management, risks, SPS Sberbank s Production System, performance) Strong corporate culture appropriate for the goals set Highly qualified employees Effective and reliable systems and processes Strong brand and loyal customers International markets Share of ~ 5-7% of net income to come from international operations Build foothold in Chinese and Indian markets Target market share of 5% or more in Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Belarus * Approved by the Supervisory Board on October 21,
16 Selected operational targets and performance metrics by 2014* Indicator Reference target (by 2014) I. Retail business 1. Products per client (depth of client relations) 2. Share of remote channels in the structure of transactions 3. Labor productivity level 4. Reduced time for decision making/ disbursement of funds to individuals after their loan applications (time to cash) 5. Qualitative indicators for the client perception studies Not less than 3 75% for transaction 50% improvement 1-3 days, depending on the product (80% of applications) 65-70% of clients are satisfied, loyal, ready to recommend to friends II. Corporate business 1. Client coverage 2. Time to review loan application At least 65% for large and medium businesses Reduced times, depending on the segment III. Other areas 1. Consolidation of transaction processing offices (back and middle office) 2. Consolidation of IT infrastructure 3. Operations labor productivity (transactions/employee) Consolidation to max 18 support/shared services centers In one principal and one backup data center 100% improvement * Source: Sberbank s Development Strategy by the year 2014, approved by the Supervisory Board on October 21,
17 Crisis-related measures undertaken by Sberbank Back to basics on underwriting More conservative approach to evaluation of client creditworthiness and debt capacity both in retail and corporate Tighter requirements vis-à-vis quality and liquidity of the collateral Focus on priority areas when developing lending operations Extra attention to monitoring workout and collection Increase in the level and quality of control over responsible behavior of lenders (owners and managers) Ongoing monitoring of exposures for early identification of potential repayment problems of borrowers More intense and systematic workout Proactive collaboration with the Government Sberbank has been proactively cooperating with the Russian authorities on measures to improve the situation of the domestic market Direct involvement of Sberbank experts in applying mechanisms and measures to stabilize the economy Active ongoing consultation with relevant authorities Aggressive efficiency drive Aggressive cost optimization program in place for
18 Agenda Page Key messages 3 Macro economic trends and Sberbank s market position 6 Structure and strategy 12 Balance sheet disclosure 18 Income statement highlights 30 Sberbank s shares 33 18
19 Credit ratings Sberbank s credit ratings by Sberbank s credit ratings by Long-term Short-term Outlook Long-term Short-term Outlook Deposit rating in foreign currency Deposit rating in local currency Financial strength rating Baa1 (Jul 16, 2008) A3 (Feb 24, 2009) D+ (May 04, 2007) Prime-2 (Oct 25, 2005) Prime-2 (Feb 24, 2009) Stable Stable Negative Issuer default rating in foreign currency Individual rating BBB (Feb 04, 2009) C/D (Feb 04, 2009) F3 (Feb 04, 2009) Negative Sovereign ratings of the Russian Federation Key comments Fitch Issuer default rating in foreign currency Long-term Short-term Outlook BBB (Feb 04, 2009) F3 (Feb 04, 2009) Negative Investment level ratings On a par with the sovereign ratings of the Russian Federation (Fitch and Moody s) Issuer default rating in local currency BBB Negative Moody s Debt rating in foreign currency Baa1 (July 16, 2008) Prime-2 (July 16, 2008) Stable Debt rating In local currency Baa1 (July 16, 2008) Stable 19
20 Assets and funding profile (1/2) 5,814 Assets growth, Rub bn* 6,736 6,768 Assets structure,%* Cash and cash equivalents 10% Other assets 6% Securities 7% Loans and advances to customers 77% 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 Loan portfolio expansion was the main driver for the total assets growth The assets structure remained stable during 1Q2009 Liabilities growth, Rub bn* Liabilities structure,%* 5,108 5,986 6,027 International borrowings 3.5% Subordinated debt 9% Due to other banks 5% Other 2.5% Due to legal entities 27% Due to individuals 53% Retail deposits dominate Sberbank s liabilities. For the first 3 months 2009, they grew by 2.3% *Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 In 4Q 08 Sberbank received a subordinated loan from CBR for the amount of RUB 500 bn. As at 31 March 2009, its amortised cost was RUB 514 bn As at 31 March 2009, international borrowings amounted to RUB bn and make up only 3.5% of Sberbank s liabilities 20
21 Assets and funding profile (2/2) RUB loans FX loans Foreign currency risk exposure FX deposits* RUB deposits* 14.8% 22.4% 27.6% 84.2% 85.0% 83.9% 85.2% 77.6% 72.4% 15.8% 15.0% 16.1% 4Q'07 4Q'08 1Q'09 4Q'07 4Q'08 1Q'09 96% of retail loan book is in rubles (RAS, as at 1 April, 2009) 79% of retail deposits is in rubles Loan portfolio concentration: 20 largest borrowers* Assets structure by country * Due to individuals and legal entities Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results 21.8% 22.3% Other countries 0.7% Russia 99.3% * % of the total gross loan portfolio Source: Sberbank IFRS results, FY 2008 Russian regions are the core fields of activity for Sberbank Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results 21
22 Loan portfolio (1/3) Loan portfolio (before provision for loan impairment), Rub bn Structure and dynamics of corporate loans, Rub bn 4,994 5,280 5,484 Investment and construction project financing, contract and developers' financing Commercial loans 4,268 4,019 46% 1,884 1,966 47% 53% 2,135 2,302 54% 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 4Q'08 1Q'09 Key comments Structure and dynamics of retail loans, Rub bn The loan portfolio (gross) grew by 3.9% in 1Q 09 Corporate loans grew by 6.2% with both commercial and specialized loans (investment and construction project financing, contract and developers financing ) increasing Loans to individuals decreased by 3.6% due to reduction in demand for consumer loans by individuals Mortgage loans remained unchanged in 1Q 09 compared to the beginning of the period 61% 39% Consumer and other loans Mortgage loans 1,261 1, % 41% Q'08 1Q'09 Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results 22
23 Loan portfolio (2/3) Corporate loan portfolio structure by business size* Government bodies 1.5% Small-size business 11.8% Corporate loan portfolio structure by maturity 26.7% 27.1% More than 3 years Large-size business 53.3% Mediumsize business 33.4% 28.2% 28.9% 20.5% 21.1% 24.6% 22.9% 1 year to 3 years 6 to 12 months Less than 6 months * % of corporate loan portfolio Source: Sberbank, as of April 01, 2009 Key comments 4Q'08 1Q'09 Loan Yields,% Sberbank services half of large and medium sized companies and a quarter of small businesses in Russia Sberbank lends to a wide cross-section of Russian corporates, from blue chips such as Gazprom and Transneft, to SMEs The maturity structure of the portfolio did not change significantly: the proportion of loans with the remaining expected maturity more than 6 months increased by 1.7% The yield on retail loan portfolio decreased in 1Q 09 due to structural changes in the portfolio: the proportion of consumer loans decreased (as a result of shorter maturity) while the proportion of lower yielding mortgage loans increased Loans to individuals Total loans Corporate loans 15.4% 15.2% 15.4% 15.8% 14.9% 13.4% 12.6% 11.8% 11.7% 13.5% 12.6% 13.1% 11.7% 10.7% 10.7% 1Q'08 2Q'08 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results 23
24 Loan portfolio (3/3) Composition of Sberbank s corporate loan portfolio Services 18.0% Other 8.3% Transport and communications 9.6% Construction 7.0% Services 21.7% Composition of Russian GDP Other 5.1% Transport and communications 9.6% Construction 6.7% Trade 21.6% Trade 21.3% Manufacturing 14.5% Energy and mining 10.4% Agriculture 10.7% Manufacturing 18.0% Energy and mining 12.6% Agriculture 5.0% Source: Sberbank IFRS results, FY 2008 Key comments The industry diversification of the loan portfolio is one of the key approaches to credit risk management Source: Russian National Statistics Office, 2008 GDP Statistics Key comments The corporate loan portfolio reflects the structure of the Russian GDP 24
25 Loan quality Non-performing loans*, RUB bn Non performing loans* to total loans 3.48% % 1.47% 1.52% 1.79% 1Q'08 2Q'08 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 1Q'08 2Q'08 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 * Overall exposure, should there be any payments (principal and/or interest amounts) more than 90 days overdue as of the reporting date 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% Provisions for loan impairment (LLP*) and Coverage ratio** LLP/NPLs 2.7% 2.7% * LLP loan loss provisions ** Coverage ratio = LLP/NPLs Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results 2.9% LLP/Gross loans 5.3% 3.8% Q'08 2Q'08 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q' * Overall exposure, should there be any payments (principal and/or interest amounts) more than 90 days overdue as of the reporting date Key comments The quality of the loan portfolio changed given the deteriorating economic environment both in Russia and globally. The proportion of non-performing loans (NPLs) in the total loan portfolio increased, triggering growth in provisions for loan impairment. In 1Q 09, provisions grew by 1.5 p.p. The ratio of loan impairment provision to non-performing loans (NPL coverage ratio) decreased during 1Q 09 as a result of faster growth of non-performing loans to provisions The majority of loans, including loans to individuals, are backed by collateral or guarantees 25
26 Securities portfolio Dynamics of securities portfolio, Rub bn Structure of securities portfolio Corporate bonds 22.1% Other 3.5% 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 Gains/Losses on trading operations with securities, Rub bn Municipal securities 16.2% Russian Federation Eurobonds 13.1% Key comments OFZ bonds 45.1% As of March 31, Q'08 2Q'08 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q' Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results During 1Q 09, Sberbank increased its portfolio of investment securities available for sale and at the same time reduced its trading securities portfolio and portfolio designated at fair value through profit and loss. This change was in line with Sberbank s investment policy For the last two quarters the corporate bonds portfolio more than doubled which was one of the forms of corporate lending The proportion of stocks in total securities portfolio does not exceed 3.5% of the total and consists mostly of blue chips (Gazprom, Rosneft, etc.) The decrease in losses on operations with securities in 1Q 09 was driven by improved situation on the financial markets Trading losses on operations with securities in 1Q 09 mostly resulted from unrealized losses on revaluation of OFZ bonds (RUB 7.7 bn) Trading income from operations with other securities totaled RUB 3.3 bn 26
27 Deposit base Retail deposits breakdown by account type Cost of funds, % Current accounts 11% Deposits from individuals Corporate term deposits Current/settlement corporate accounts Term deposits 89% 6.1% 7.3% 8.1% 7.3% 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 6.1% 5.7% 6.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1Q'08 2Q'08 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 Legal entities deposits breakdown by account type Deposit maturity breakdown Term deposits 42% Current accounts 58% 37.4% 38.9% 20.0% 18.9% 10.3% 10.0% 32.3% 32.2% More than 3 years 1 year to 3 years 6 to 12 months Less than 6 months 4Q'08 1Q'09 Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results 27
28 Capital management Equity, Rub bn Regulatory capital and Risk-weighted assets, RUB bn Regulatory capital RWA 5, , , , Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 Key comments The Bank s capital adequacy ratio is well above the CBR s requirement of 10% (11% for the participants of the deposit insurance system). The gradual decline of the core capital (Tier 1) adequacy ratios is driven by the growth of the loan portfolio and is in line with the Bank s capital management policy In 4Q 08 Sberbank received a subordinated loan from the Bank of Russia in the amount of RUB500 bn, which substantially increased its supplementary (Tier 2) capital The total capital adequacy ratio calculated according to the Basel 1 Accord, as of March 31, 2009, was 18% Capital adequacy ratio, Basel 1 and CBR N1 Tier 1 Total capital CBR N1 20.2% 19.7% 18.9% 18.0% 14.5% 12.7% 13.0% 12.2% 11.7% Basel 1 min 8% CBR min 11% Basel 1 min 8% CBR min 11% Basel 1 min 8% 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 CBR min 11% Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results 28
29 Legal disclaimer for Sberbank s international borrowings data on page 30 NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION IN THE UNITED STATES, CANADA, AUSTRALIA AND JAPAN Neither this information nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan. This information in this presentation or in oral statements of the management of the Bank or placed on Sberbank s official web-site is not an offer for sale of securities ( Securities ) in the United States. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States or for the account or benefit of U.S. persons absent registration or an exemption from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The issuer of the securities has not registered, and does not intend to register any portion of the issue in the United States, and does not intend to conduct a public offering of securities in the United States. This information can only be directed at (i) persons who are outside the United Kingdom or (ii) to investment professionals falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the Order ) or (iii) high net worth companies, and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order (all such persons in (i), (ii) and (iii) above together being referred to as relevant persons ). The securities will only be available to, and any invitation, offer or agreement to subscribe, purchase or otherwise acquire such securities will be engaged in only with, relevant persons. Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. In any European Economic Area Member State that has implemented Directive 2003/71/EC (together with any applicable implementing measures in any Member State)(the Prospectus Directive ), this information is only addressed to and is only directed at persons in that Member State who are qualified investors within the meaning of Article 2(1)(e) of the Prospectus Directive. These materials and the information herein are not a public offer or advertisement of securities in Russia, and are not an offer, or an invitation to make offers or to purchase, sell, exchange or transfer any securities in Russia, and do not constitute an advertisement of securities in Russia. 29
30 Sberbank s international borrowings (Please read the legal disclaimer on p. 29 before proceeding) Instrument Subordinated loan (Loan participation notes) MTN Programme Total Amount Outstanding Amount USD1.0 bn USD1.0 bn 11 February 2005 Drawdown Date Maturity Repayment 10 years (NC 5 years)* Interest Rate, % p.a. Bullet 6.23% Series 1 (Loan participation notes) USD0.5 bn USD0.5 bn 15 May years Bullet 6.48% Series 2 (Loan participation notes) USD0.75 bn USD0.75 bn 14 November years Bullet 5.93% Series 3 (Loan participation notes) USD0.5 bn USD0.5 bn 02 July years Bullet 6.468% Instrument Total Amount Outstanding Amount Contract Date Maturity Repayment Interest Rate, % p.a. Syndicated loan USD1.5 bn USD1.5 bn 20 October years Bullet LIBOR+0.3% Syndicated loan USD0.75 bn USD0.75 bn 18 December years (with an extension option for 2 years) Bullet LIBOR+0.45% Syndicated loan USD1.2 bn USD1.2 bn 02 October years Bullet LIBOR+0.85% Total USD6.2 bn 3.5% of Sberbank s liabilities as at 31 March, 2009 *Sberbank has the right to prepay the Subordinated loan on 11 Feb 2010 or at any time, if the Subordinated loan does not qualify as Additional Capital, as defined in Regulation of the CBR No.215-P of February 10, 2003 During the three months ended 31 March 2009 Sberbank repurchased the part of its ten-year subordinated loan issued by UBS Luxembourg S.A. and the part of its long-term loans, received under loan participation notes (MTN) issuance programme. The transactions were organised as a buying-out of loan participation notes from the market 30
31 Agenda Page Key messages 3 Macro economic trends and Sberbank s market position 6 Structure and strategy 12 Balance sheet disclosure 18 Income statement highlights 31 Sberbank s shares 34 31
32 Profit and loss profile (1/2) Net profit after tax, Rub bn 31.1 Operating income before LLP*, Rub bn Gains/losses on trading operations with securities Net interest income Net fee and commission income Other Q'08 1Q' Q'08 1Q'09 * LLP loan loss provisions Administrative and Operating Expenses, Rub bn Key comments Operating expenses Staff costs % % % 61% % % 1Q'08 1Q'09 Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results Net profit decline in 1Q 09 was mostly influenced by a sharp increase in provisioning for loan impairment compared to previous periods Operating income before LLP increased by 11.7% in 1Q 09 against the 4Q 08 result. The increase was primarily due to rise in interest income from lending operations The main component of other operating income earned by Sberbank in 1Q 09 in the total amount of RUB 11.1 bn was gains arising from operations with foreign currencies totaling RUB 8.5 bn Administrative and operating expenses decreased by 5.2% in 1Q 09 against the 4Q 08 figures, with staff costs decreasing by 4.0%. Cost/Income ratio improved to 36.8% in 1Q 09 vs. 53.5% in 1Q 08 The number of employees decreased by 1.5% vs 4Q 08 as a result of natural staff retirement and hiring freeze 32
33 Profit and loss profile (2/2) Net interest income and Net interest margin Net interest spread, % Net interest income, Rub bn Net interest margin, % 7.1% 7.4% Return on working assets Net interest spread Cost of funds 11.5% 11.0% 12.0% 12.2% 12.5% Q' Q'09 6.7% 6.1% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 4.8% 4.9% 5.2% 5.0% 5.4% 1Q'08 2Q'08 3Q'08 4Q'08 1Q'09 Key comments ROE and ROA, % Net interest income increased by 4.4% in 1Q 09 compared to 4Q 08 The main drivers of net interest income growth in the first quarter were a 3.9% loan portfolio increase and an interest rates rise The spread between the interest income on earning assets and the cost of funds decreased by 0.1 p.p. in 1Q 09 due to rise in cost of funds Sberbank s ROAA and ROAE decreased in 1Q 09 on the back of lower net profit Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results 2.45% 1Q' % 1Q'09 ROE 0.3% ROA 0.03% 33
34 Agenda Page Key messages 3 Macro economic trends and Sberbank s market position 6 Structure and strategy 12 Balance sheet disclosure 18 Income statement highlights 31 Sberbank s shares 34 34
35 Sberbank s shares (1/3) Share information Ordinary shares Preference shares Shares in issue 21,586,948,000 1,000,000,000 ISIN RU RU Par value, Rub 3 3 MICEX (main market) Share code SBER03 SBERP03 RTS Russian legal entities 9.20% Foreign investors 24.31% Shareholder structure Individuals 6.24% CBR 60.25% Share code SBER SBERP Reuters symbol SBER03.MM SBER03_p.MM Bloomberg symbol SBER03 RX SBERP03 RX Valuation summary Free float 40% Source: Sberbank, ordinary shares as of May 8, 2009 Sell-side analyst recommendations ITEM Change Book value per share, Rub % Price-to-book value (x) % "Buy"* 12 "Sell"*** 1 ITEM 3m 09 3m 08 Change Earnings per share, Rub % Dividends Change Ordinary share, Rub per share Preference share, Rub per share Source: Sberbank 1Q 09 IFRS results, Bloomberg % % Sberbank remains a very strong consensus 'buy stock amongst sell side analysts * buy or overweight or outperform ** hold or neutral or equal-weight *** sell or underperform or underweight "Hold"* * 10 Source: Analyst reports, as of July 24,
36 Sberbank s shares (2/3) 150% 100% Share price performance 2009 Sberbank (+77%, Micex) MICEX Index (+62%) SX7P* (+30%) MSCI Russia** (+49%) Sber 50% MICEX MSCI (R) 0% SX7P -50% Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 * Dow Jones EU banks index ** Morgan Stanley Capital Index Russia Rub bn Volume Analysis 2009: 30-Day Moving Average Value Traded Sberbank (+ 514% YTD, Micex) Key comments Throughout the first half of the year global financial markets saw the first signs of recovery Until February 2009 the Russian banking sector was influenced by the Russian ruble devaluation From February onwards, Sberbank traded in line with the MICEX and outperformed the SX7P due to increasing investors risk appetite on EMEA markets Volumes in Sberbank remain strong: #1 blue chip on Micex 0 Source: Bloomberg Data until close July 28, 2009 July 36
37 Sberbank s shares (3/3) USD Sberbank share price vs Consensus analyst target price Share price* (+70%) Target price** (-21%) Potential Upside +7% Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 * Sberbank ordinary share price ( at close, MICEX) ** Sell-side analyst 12 months consensus target price Data until close July 24,2009 Source: Bloomberg, Analyst reports Sberbank / Micex ratio Sberbank outperf orms Micex index Sberbank underperf orms Micex index 0.8 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Source: Bloomberg 37
38 Analyst estimates of Sberbank s main performance indicators (IFRS) for (1/3) Assets, Rub bn Net profit, Rub bn Median Troika Dialog 7,715 7,047 Median Troika Dialog 4 43 Nomura Nomura Credit Suisse Credit Suisse Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley UBS HSBC ING Renaissance Capital Citi Deutsche Bank RBS Merrill Lynch UBS HSBC ING Renaissance Capital Citi Deutsche Bank RBS Merrill Lynch JP Morgan 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 RUB bn JP Morgan RUB bn Source: Analyst reports, as of July 27,
39 Analyst estimates of Sberbank s main performance indicators (IFRS) for (2/3) Operational Income before Provisions for Loan Impairment, Rub bn Provisions for Loan Impairment through P&L, Rub bn Median Troika Dialog Median Troika Dialog Nomura Nomura Credit Suisse Credit Suisse Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs Morgan Stanley UBS 2010 Morgan Stanley UBS HSBC 2009 HSBC ING ING Renaissance Capital Renaissance Capital Citi Citi Deutsche Bank Deutsche Bank RBS RBS Merrill Lynch Merrill Lynch JP Morgan RUB bn RUB bn JP Morgan Source: Analyst reports, as of July 27,
40 Consensus analyst estimates of Sberbank s main performance indicators (IFRS) for (3/3) Net Interest Margin Capital adequacy ratio, Basel 1 Total capital (Tier 1 + Tier 2) Tier 1 7.3% 7.0% 18.4% 17.2% 11.2% 10.6% 8% - Basel 1 min capital requirement 2009E 2010E 2009E 2010E Loan Quality Cost/Income Ratio 25.0% 20.0% NPL/Gross loans LLP/Gross loans LLP/NPL 101% 95% 110% 100% 15.0% 10.0% 9.0% 9.1% 11.9% 11.3% 90% 80% 70% 40.5% 42.5% 5.0% 60% 0.0% 50% 2009E 2010E 2009E 2010E NPL is overall exposure, should there be any payments (principal and/or interest amounts) more than 90 days overdue as of the reporting date LLP loan loss provisions Source: Analyst reports of JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch, RBS, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Renaissance Capital, ING, HSBC, UBS, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, Nomura, Troika Dialog, as of July 27,
41 contact details IR team Contact details Head of IR: Mr. Dmitry V. Zhdanovich Phone: +7 (495) Ms. Natalia V. Vasilieva Ms. Kristina A. Bystrykh Address: 19 Vavilova St., Moscow, , Russia Phone: +7 (495) (495) Fax: +7 (495) www. sberbank.ru/en Mr. Alexey S. Avdeev Ms. Ekaterina V. Generalova 41
42 Thank You 42
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