Economics of Occasional Tillage St. Francis, KS December 2018

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Transkript:

Economics of Occasional Tillage St. Francis, KS December 218 Monte Vandeveer, Alan Schlegel, & John Holman Southwest Research & Extension Center Kansas State University The move toward less tillage Some intended goals Conserve soil moisture, improve soil structure, health Higher yields Fewer tillage passes through the field But Do higher yields offset the higher chemical costs in no-till / reduced till systems? Growing herbicide resistance in some weeds Will occasional tillage hurt yields or reduce income? 1

Original study: compare 3 tillage systems Conventional Tilled as needed to control weeds 4-5 times/year with blade plow or field cultivator Reduced tillage No-till from wheat harvest through sorghum planting Regular tillage from sorghum harvest through wheat planting No till Exclusive use of herbicide for weed control Compared using a W-S-F rotation in a study at Tribune from 21 through present 3 tillage systems for W-S-F rotation CONVENTIONAL 4-5 tillage trips, as needed 4-5 tillage trips, as needed Oct Jul Oct Jun Oct Oct wheat sorg fallow REDUCED No tillage between wheat & sorghum Conventional till after sorghum 2

Notes on input costs Use custom rates to estimate machinery costs Include cost of preceding fallow period with cost of crop production Economic comparison of systems Do higher yields pay for higher chemical costs? Fertilizer use Nitrogen NH3 used when using tillage UAN-28 liquid applied in no-till regime Wheat: 2 lbs N for each bushel of average yield Sorghum: 1.2 lbs N for each bushel of average yield Phosphate MAP (11-52-) for wheat, 26 lbs P per acre APP (11-34-) for sorghum, 27 lbs P per acre 3

WHEAT: chemical use NO-TILL system Fallow period prior to wheat Scoparia, 3 oz/a Dicamba, 16 oz/a Metribuzin, 8 oz/a Wheat crop Ally,.1 oz/a Dicamba, 4 oz/a Paraquat, 48 oz/a 2,4-D, 16 oz/a Paraquat, 48 oz/a 2,4-D, 16 oz/a Glyphosate, 32 oz/a 2,4-D, 16 oz/a Dicamba, 16 oz/a Glyphosate, 32 oz/a 2,4-D, 16 oz/a Dicamba, 16 oz/a CONVENTIONAL system: Retains only those herbicides used on wheat crop REDUCED system: Fallow after sorghum: use tillage Same herbicides for wheat crop SORGHUM: chemical use NO-TILL system Fallow period prior to sorghum Glyphosate, 32 oz/a 2,4-D, 32 oz/a Paraquat, 48 oz/a 2,4-D, 16 oz/a Sorghum crop Lumax, 2.5 qt/a Atrazine,.25 lb/a Paraquat, 48 oz/a Glyphosate, 32 oz/a 2,4-D, 16 oz/a Atrazine, 1 lb/a Dicamba, 16 oz/a Glyphosate, 32 oz/a 2,4-D, 16 oz/a CONVENTIONAL system: Retains only those herbicides used on sorghum crop REDUCED system: Fallow after wheat: use no-till Same herbicides for sorghum crop 4

Wheat costs using 218 input prices NT NT NT RT RT RT CT CT CT Rate Price Total Rate Price Total Rate Price Total Seed 5.2 1. 5.2 1. 5.2 1. Fertilizer UAN 145.12 17.76.12..12. NH3.24. 4.24 9.6 35.24 8.4 MAP 5.26 13.13 5.26 13.13 5.26 13.13 Actual N, P 46 lbs N, 26 lbs P 38 lbs N, 26 lbs P 34 lbs N, 26 lbs P Herbicide Scoparia 3 4.88 14.65 4.88. 4.88. Dicamba 52.31 16.25 4.31 1.25 4.31 1.25 Metribuzin.5 13.5 6.53 13.5. 13.5. Paraquat 96.23 21.75.23..23. Glyphosate 64.13 8.5.13..13. 2,4 D 64.16 1.5.16..16. Ally.1 7.37.74.1 7.37.74.1 7.37.74 Machinery Sweep 11.. 4 11. 44. 4 11. 44. NH3 appl 15.. 1 15. 15. 1 15. 15. Dry/liq fert appl 1 6. 6. 6.. 6.. Herbicide appl 6 5.5 33. 1 5.5 5.5 1 5.5 5.5 Plant 1 13.5 13.5 1 13.5 13.5 1 13.5 13.5 Total 172.3 112.71 111.51 * Input costs do not include harvest costs, which vary with yield. Sorghum costs using 218 input prices NT NT NT RT RT RT CT CT CT Rate Price Total Rate Price Total Rate Price Total Seed 3 2.8 8.4 3 2.8 8.4 3 2.8 8.4 Fertilizer UAN 286.12 35.4 172.12 21.7.12. NH3.24..24. 33.24 7.92 APP 8.22 17.2 8.22 17.2 8.22 17.2 Actual N, P 89 lbs N, 27 lbs P 57 lbs N, 27 lbs P 36 lbs N, 27 lbs P Herbicide Glyphosate 96.13 12.75 96.13 12.75.13. 2,4 D 8.16 13.13 8.16 13.13.16. Paraquat 96.23 21.75 96.23 21.75 48.23 1.88 Atrazine 1.25 3. 3.75 1.25 3. 3.75.25 3..75 Dicamba 16.31 5. 16.31 5..31. Lumax 8.47 37.5 8.47 37.5 8.47 37.5 Machinery Sweep 11.. 11.. 4 11. 44. NH3 appl 15.. 15.. 1 15. 15. Dry/liq fert appl 1 6. 6. 1 6. 6. 6.. Herbicide appl 6 5.5 33. 6 5.5 33. 1 5.5 5.5 Plant 1 17. 17. 1 17. 17. 1 17. 17. Total 21.51 196.55 164.15 * Input costs do not include harvest costs, which vary with yield. 5

Cost comparison: wheat ITEM No-Till Reduced Conventional Seed 1. 1. 1. Fertilizer 3.89 22.73 21.53 Herbicide 78.91 1.99 1.99 Field operations 52.5 78. 78. TOTAL 172.3 112.71 111.51 * Input costs do not include harvest costs, which vary with yield. Cost comparison: Sorghum ITEM No-Till Reduced Conventional Seed 8.4 8.4 8.4 Fertilizer 52.24 38.27 25.12 Herbicide 93.88 93.88 49.13 Field operations 56. 56. 81.5 TOTAL 21.51 196.55 164.5 * Input costs do not include harvest costs, which vary with yield. 6

Wheat yields in W-S-F rotation: Tribune Bushels per acre 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Dryland yields for 3 tillage methods, 21-217 AVERAGE YIELDS Conventional 17 bu/a Reduced 19 bu/a No Till 23 bu/a 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Conventional Reduced No Till Sorghum yields in W-S-F rotation: Tribune Bushels per acre 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 Dryland yields for 3 tillage methods, 21-217 AVERAGE YIELDS Conventional 3 bu/a Reduced 47 bu/a No Till 74 bu/a 4 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Conventional Reduced No Till 7

Comparing net returns Compare costs and returns across tillage systems By crop For entire W-S-F rotation Harvest costs included (custom rates) Crop prices: Wheat $5.2/bu, sorghum $3.2/bu How sensitive to these assumptions? Wheat net returns $ per acre 4 3 2 1 Dryland outcomes for 3 tillage methods, 21-217 AVERAGE RETURNS Conventional -$24.95/a Reduced -$12.8/a No Till -$5.56/a -1-2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Conventional Reduced No Till 8

Sorghum net returns $ per acre 4 3 2 1 Dryland outcomes for 3 tillage methods, 21-217 AVERAGE RETURNS Conventional -$ 69.27/a Reduced -$ 45.2/a No Till $ 25.16/a -1-2 -3 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Conventional Reduced No Till Net returns over entire W-S-F rotation $ per acre 6 4 2 Dryland outcomes for 3 tillage methods, 21-217 AVERAGE RETURNS Conventional -$ 94.24/a Reduced -$ 57.9/a No Till -$ 25.4/a -2-4 -6 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Conventional Reduced No Till 9

Sensitivity to crop prices? Drop crop prices to loan rates? Wheat: $2.94/bu Grain sorghum: $1.95/bu RT had highest return: higher yields than CT, lower costs than NT Once grain sorghum prices reach $2.35/bu, NT dominates, regardless of wheat price SUMMARY WHEAT: small yield advantage with no-till SORGHUM: huge yield advantage to no-till Entire W-S-F rotation: NO-TILL: yield advantage to no-till sorghum more than offset no-till cost disadvantage for wheat REDUCED TILL: better sorghum yields than conventional, but still far below no-till LOW PRICES: prices at loan rate favor RT, but grain sorghum prices above $2.35 favored NT 1

Occasional ( strategic ) tillage study PROBLEM: growing herbicide resistance in weeds in our no-till systems If occasional tillage is necessary. How much might yields be affected? How would net returns be affected? Which time in rotation is best to use tillage? Studies at both Tribune and Garden City Occasional ( strategic ) tillage study Drop one herbicide treatment, add tillage pass instead Oct Jul Oct Jun Oct Oct wheat sorg fallow Till in July, post-harvest Till in June, fallow year 11

Wheat costs with occasional tillage: Tribune NT NT NT OT June OT June OT June OT July OT July OT July Rate Price Total Rate Price Total Rate Price Total Seed 5.2 1. 5.2 1. 5.2 1. Fertilizer UAN 259.12 31.73 259.12 31.73 252.12 3.87 MAP 5.26 13.13 5.26 13.13 5.26 13.13 Actual N, P 78 lbs N, 26 lbs P 78 lbs N, 26 lbs P 76 lbs N, 26 lbs P Herbicide Scoparia 3 4.88 14.65 3 4.88 14.65 3 4.88 14.65 Dicamba 52.31 16.25 52.31 16.25 52.31 16.25 Metribuzin.5 13.5 6.53.5 13.5 6.53.5 13.5 6.53 Paraquat 96.23 21.75 48.23 1.88 48.23 1.88 Glyphosate 64.13 8.5 64.13 8.5 64.13 8.5 2,4 D 64.16 1.5 48.16 7.88 48.16 7.88 Ally.1 7.37.74.1 7.37.74.1 7.37.74 Machinery Sweep 11.. 1 11. 11. 1 11. 11. Dry/liq fert appl 1 6. 6. 1 6. 6. 1 6. 6. Herbicide appl 6 5.5 33. 5 5.5 27.5 5 5.5 27.5 Plant 1 13.5 13.5 1 13.5 13.5 1 13.5 13.5 Total 186.26 178.26 177.41 * Input costs do not include harvest costs, which vary with yield. Sorghum costs, occasional tillage: Tribune NT NT NT OT June OT June OT June OT July OT July OT July Rate Price Total Rate Price Total Rate Price Total Seed 3 2.8 8.4 3 2.8 8.4 3 2.8 8.4 Fertilizer UAN 431.12 52.8 428.12 52.43 413.12 5.59 APP 8.22 17.2 8.22 17.2 8.22 17.2 Actual N, P 146 lbs N, 27 lbs P 145 lbs N, 27 lbs P 14 lbs N, 27 lbs P Herbicide Glyphosate 96.13 12.75 64.13 8.5 64.13 8.5 2,4 D 8.16 13.13 48.16 7.88 48.16 7.88 Paraquat 96.23 21.75 96.23 21.75 96.23 21.75 Atrazine 1.25 3. 3.75 1.25 3. 3.75 1.25 3. 3.75 Dicamba 16.31 5. 16.31 5. 16.31 5. Lumax 8.47 37.5 8.47 37.5 8.47 37.5 Machinery Sweep 11.. 1 11. 11. 1 11. 11. Dry/liq fert appl 1 6. 6. 1 6. 6. 1 6. 6. Herbicide appl 6 5.5 33. 5 5.5 27.5 5 5.5 27.5 Plant 1 17. 17. 1 17. 17. 1 17. 17. Total 228.27 223.91 222.7 * Input costs do not include harvest costs, which vary with yield. 12

Cost comparison: wheat (Tribune) ITEM No-Till OT June fallow OT July post-harv Seed 1. 1. 1. Fertilizer 44.85 44.85 44. Herbicide 78.91 65.41 65.41 Field operations 52.5 58. 58. TOTAL 186.26 178.26 177.41 * Input costs do not include harvest costs, which vary with yield. Cost comparison: Sorghum (Tribune) ITEM No-Till OT June fallow OT July post-harv Seed 8.4 8.4 8.4 Fertilizer 7. 69.63 67.79 Herbicide 93.88 84.38 84.38 Field operations 56. 61.5 61.5 TOTAL 228.27 223.91 222.7 * Input costs do not include harvest costs, which vary with yield. 13

Tribune wheat yields in WSF rotation Bushels per acre 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 No-till and 2 occasional till methods, 214-217 AVERAGE YIELDS June in fallow 39 bu/a July post-harv 38 bu/a No Till 39 bu/a 214 215 216 217 JN in fallow JL post-harv No Till Tribune sorghum yields in WSF rotation 16 No-till and 2 occasional till methods, 214-217 Bushels per acre 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 AVERAGE YIELDS June in fallow 118 bu/a July post-harv 115 bu/a No Till 122 bu/a 214 215 216 217 JN in fallow JL post-harv No Till 14

Garden City wheat yields in WSF rotation Bushels per acre 7 6 5 4 3 2 No-till and 2 occasional till methods, 214-217 AVERAGE YIELDS June in fallow 3 bu/a July post-harv 3 bu/a No Till 29 bu/a 1 214 215 216 217 JN in fallow JL post-harv No Till Garden City sorghum yields, WSF rotation 14 No-till and 2 occasional till methods, 214-217 12 Bushels per acre 1 8 6 4 2 AVERAGE YIELDS June in fallow 71 bu/a July post-harv 7 bu/a No Till 72 bu/a 214 215 216 217 JN in fallow JL post-harv No Till 15

Tribune: returns over entire WSF rotation $ per acre 35 3 25 2 15 1 5-5 -1-15 No Till vs 2 Occasional Till methods, 214-217 88.15 75.97 7.8 214 215 216 217 Average June fallow July post-harv No Till Garden City: returns over entire WSF rotation No Till vs 2 Occasional Till methods, 214-217 25 2 15 $ per acre 1 5-5 -1-15 -2-25 -63.72-63.88-81.27 214 215 216 217 Average June fallow July post-harv No Till 16

SUMMARY: Occasional Tillage study No significant yield decline after 1 tillage pass Change in net returns by using OT? Herbicide savings was $12-$19/acre, including sprayer cost Cost of extra tillage was $11/acre Cost savings in OT is small, also small changes in yields Which OT system? Slight advantage to June-in-fallow (after-sorghum)? Questions? Comments? Thank you! Dr. Monte Vandeveer KSU Extension Agricultural Economist Email: montev@ksu.edu Phone: 62-275-9164 K-State Research and Extension is a statewide network of educators sharing unbiased, research-based information and expertise on issues important to Kansas and the public in general. K-State Research and Extension is an equal opportunity provider and employer. 17